Wisconsin vs Stanford 1/1/2013

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Wisconsin winning 44% of simulations, and Stanford 56% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Wisconsin commits fewer turnovers in 25% of simulations and they go on to win 58% when they take care of the ball. Stanford wins 67% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Montee Ball is averaging 115 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (39% chance) then he helps his team win 59%. Stepfan Taylor is averaging 117 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (35% chance) then he helps his team win 69%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is STAN -6.5 --- Over/Under line is 48.5
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